- Skills mismatch may mean 1.5 million vacancies by 2016
- Download PDF The Canadian Forces in 2025: Prospects and Problems
- The Canadian Forces in 2025: Prospects and Problems
- Roger Girouard: Planning for the future of the Canadian Navy
- Jack Granatstein | Centre for Military and Strategic Studies | University of Calgary
The deal here that every Canadian needs to understand about the F is that it is an airplane in development He further stated, "Mr. Harper is going around trying to tell Canadians, 'I know what this plane is going to cost. President Barack Obama doesn't know what this plane is going to cost. On 2 May the election was held, resulting in a Conservative majority government. After the election further details began to leak out, including further delays in the schedule, beyond the retirement of the CFs.
In October it was revealed that the F model under consideration by the RCAF would not be able to communicate via the Canadian Forces satellite communications network used in the Canadian Arctic. This deficiency is expected to be addressed in the fourth production phase in , or perhaps later. The RCAF was considering whether a stop-gap solution, such as an external communications pod could be fitted to the F In November , The Canadian Press released several access-to-information request responses on the procurement.
Department of National Defence documents indicate that 65 aircraft represent the absolute minimum number; this did not include any attrition aircraft. An Air Force Association of Canada source said that this was done to minimize the total purchase price. The reports also noted that delivery plans indicate that the Fs would be delivered at the same time that the CFs are to retire, leaving no room for delays.
Government officials confirmed that delays had been accounted for. So the risk is still not great for Canada. But it's tighter. The schedule doesn't have the flexibility it used to have. We're on record.
We're part of the crusade. We're not backing down. In November, it was announced that initial Fs delivered will not be equipped with communication systems such as Link 16 or Blue Force Tracking , which allows aircraft to communicate with older aircraft and ground forces, helping to reduce friendly fire incidents.
These functions aren't expected until an upgrade program in — three years after deliveries begin. Fantino said: "We are still talking about it, analyzing it.
Skills mismatch may mean 1.5 million vacancies by 2016
There is still time, before , to decide the final number. Could it be fewer than 65? We need to have these aircraft, both for the sovereignty of Canada and to meet our international obligations as set by the government of Canada. The NDP's military procurement critic Matthew Kellway stated, "It's an acknowledgment that they can't get the plane for the number that they said they could. I think just about everybody else in the world has acknowledged that that's the case. By February the mounting program delays and increasing costs resulted in the federal government reconsidering how many of the aircraft can be affordably purchased.
On 9 February Associate Minister of Defence Julian Fantino, in an angry outburst in the House of Commons, said that a journal article criticizing the F purchase was "critical of everything that is holy and decent about the government's efforts" to equip the Canadian Forces. From now on, decisions on new equipment for the Canadian Forces will be divinely ordained, and channelled to Canadians through Mr.
Fantino's divine connections Being responsive and adaptive researchers, we've put aside the books and journals on aircraft capabilities, geopolitics and military history, and have started re-reading the Bible.
Download PDF The Canadian Forces in 2025: Prospects and Problems
Fantino must have an updated version of the Holy Book, for we couldn't find the Gospels of Lockheed Martin or anything about fighter jets in the old editions. Then it occurred to us that cows, and other things, are sometimes referred to as holy. Especially by people, like Mr. Fantino, who are prone to missteps. Fantino explained, "I think Canada, as with all other countries, has to be very much plugged in to the environment, the economics of the day if you will, but we remain committed to ensuring that we purchase or we acquire the best resources for our men and women, and also at the very same time address the absolute certainty that Canada, Canadian taxpayers will receive the best possible outcome.
These are things that are evolving. On 14 February Defence Minister Peter MacKay was asked about the purchase and responded, "we are committed to giving the Canadian air force the best opportunity for mission success. On 15 February Prime Minister Stephen Harper stated in the House of Commons on the F purchase: "There's a budget for that and the government has been clear, we will operate within that budget".
Opposition politicians reacted to the news.
The Canadian Forces in 2025: Prospects and Problems
They botched this file from the beginning to the end and they need to come clean with Canadian taxpayers. This is a government that is targeting Old Age Security because they say that's unsustainable. But when it comes to a jet contract whose ultimate price we do not know, how many planes we do not know, its affordability we do not know, they say, 'Oh that, that is sacrosanct.
So clearly they've made their priorities.
Roger Girouard: Planning for the future of the Canadian Navy
The news media and in particular editorial writers provided analysis and comment on the government's use of rote speeches and obscuring jargon around the issue. Toronto Star national affairs columnist Tim Harper indicated that it is now inevitable that the government will announce a "Plan B" on F procurement. The bargain bulk buying price that was quoted because the plane would be in "peak production" starting in is gone. The US estimate is almost double the cost per plane. There were ever only two guarantees associated with this untendered deal — cost overruns and production delays.
There should now be a third guarantee. This government will drastically reduce the size of this deal — why 65? They will announce it following a meeting it has convened in Washington with other purchasers or after a subsequent meeting of the bruised buyers in Australia. They may stick it in the federal budget in the name of austerity, or they may release the decision under cover of Friday evening darkness.
The National Post 's John Ivison reported on 14 February that the Harper cabinet has recently discussed cutting the F procurement and ordering armed UAVs instead, although the military dismisses claims that drones can replace the F On 15 February Fantino was quick to dismiss reports that UAVs would be purchased to cover a shortfall in the minimum number of Fs that the RCAF needs to defend the country, calling it "speculation". Fantino however refused to state how many Fs the government would buy, what the cost would be or when they would be delivered.
Chief of Defence Staff Gen. Walter Natyncyzk said they need at least 65 planes, and that is a minimum number.
These are three things that just do not go together. In a released statement Fantino described the meeting as confirming that the F is making good progress and that all partners remain committed to procurement of the aircraft. He qualified his remarks, though, saying, "While good progress continues to be made, we will always be vigilant with our stewardship of taxpayers' hard earned dollars. By the middle of March the federal government's official tone and message about the F procurement notably changed.
On 13 March Fantino stated in front of the House of Commons Defence Committee, "We have not as yet discounted, the possibility, of course, of backing out of any of the program None of the partners have. We are not.jueflececmot.tk
Jack Granatstein | Centre for Military and Strategic Studies | University of Calgary
And we'll just have to think it through further as time goes on, but we are confident that we will not leave Canada or our men and women in uniform in a lurch, but it's hypothetical to go any further right now One of the things that I know for certain is that Canada remains involved in the joint strike fighter program The decision, the determinate decision, has not as yet been made as to whether or not we are going to actually purchase, buy, acquire, the F The CBC's Laura Payton wrote in analysis, "Fantino's comments mark a change in tone from previous answers to questions about the possibility of rising costs and design problems with the Lockheed Martin fighter jets.
He had previously left no possibility the government is exploring other options or considering pulling out of the agreement with allies like the United States, Norway, Italy and Australia. Interim Liberal Leader Bob Rae responded to the news of the government's statements, saying "Inevitably, they'll have to find a new model, because the F model doesn't work for Canada. Fantino is saying today is completely different: There is no contract, it's not a matter of when but if and when. NDP defence critic David Christopherson stated that Fantino's remarks illustrated that the Conservative government previous dismissal of criticism of the program as unpatriotic has been "all bluster and the reason they suggest it's maybe unpatriotic is because they don't have solid answers to give.
They're in serious trouble here. This program is not working, it's not flying. Literally, it's not flying. The Globe and Mail columnist Campbell Clark accused Fantino of carrying out a "classic tactical manoeuvre: the quarter-turn retreat. Fantino's definition of commitment would make a marriage counsellor blush. On 15 March media reports were released about an upcoming Auditor General of Canada report that concludes that the Department of National Defence misled Parliament about the costs of the F acquisition.
National Post columnist John Ivison noted the Department's long history of intentionally underestimating costs in order to get the equipment they desire and predicted the report will contribute to the cancellation of the F acquisition. Ivison stated, "the fall-out in Parliament may persuade the government the price of sticking with the F program is no longer worth paying". Indications are that the Auditor General's highly critical report was behind the governments' sudden change in stance on the F procurement. Senior government officials had warned the Harper government to leave room to exit the program, but were ignored as the F procurement became a central feature of the election campaign.
In reacting to the news that officials at DND had misled the government in order to ensure purchase of the F, Liberal defence critic John McKay stated, "It does speak to the issue of the military's ability to snowball politicians. Having said that, this is a government that basically snookered themselves by wrapping themselves in the military's flag so they can no longer critique the military. The news of the upcoming Auditor General's report caused media prediction that the government's reaction will be to put the procurement on hold, although aerospace and defence industry experts are expecting the sole-sourced procurement will be eventually cancelled in favour of an open competition.
Questions were also asked about the statement of operational requirements, how it was written only weeks ahead of the defence minister's public announcement that Canada would buy the aircraft and years after Canada become involved in the program. Former assistant deputy defence minister Alan Williams stated that proper procedures were not followed. On the program he stated, "not only is it not normal, but it's a complete hijacking and rigging of the process.
In , the military and civilians recommended the F to the minister and four years later, they developed their requirements, obviously rigged or wired to ensure that the only jet to meet the requirements would be the one that they recommended four years earlier. Access to information documents obtained by the Ottawa Citizen showed that DND officials met more with Lockheed Martin representatives than all other competitors combined and the meetings with competitors were "pro-forma" to simply show that they had met.
The accusations of rigging the purchase were taken up by opposition MPs in the House of Commons on 27 March NDP MP Matthew Kellway indicated that the government had tabled a response to an order paper stating that F currently meets all of the military's stated requirements.
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Kellway asked, "Which document is the truth? The one for public consumption or the one kept secret? Fantino's answer was "We will remain committed to the Joint Strike Fighter program. A budget has been identified, a contract has not been signed for a replacement aircraft and we will make sure that the air force and the men and women there have the necessary tools to do their job and that's the bottom line.
He responded that "we haven't yet signed a contract, as you know, we retain that flexibility but we are committed to continuing our aerospace sector's participation in the development of the F Interim Liberal Leader Bob Rae said that it appears that the government is considering buying a different aircraft as an alternative to the F and this should be made public. Rae said, "There's obviously been a shift in position in the last several weeks. The new NDP leader Thomas Mulcair said the documents reported by the CBC indicate that the government created a "bogus bidding process" to hide that it had already chosen the F before the mandatory requirements had even been written.
Mulcair stated, "They tried to rig the process by defining something that only one plane could meet. It's a very old strategy in government procurement, but even there we're now finding out the F doesn't meet the bogus requirements that they were setting out in their rigged bid.